The
The population outlook developed here is based on the method of
“Multistate” projection. This method is based on the distribution of
Individuals according to a range of states characterised by age, gender and
Household situation, and calculates transition probabilities between these
Different states, based on past observation. In these states,
In addition, birth, death, immigration and
Emigration. This methodology was developed in 2010 and 2011 and put into
Application by Michel Poulain, Luc Dal, Thierry EGGERICKX and Jean-Paul
Sanderson, members of the Centre for Research in Demography and Societies of
The UCL. The indicator is given in index 100 in relation to one year x One
Value of 111 is read as an increase of 11 percentage points per
Ratio to the reference year/period (index 100). Symmetrically
Value of 93 is read as a decrease of 7 percentage points per
Report to this year/reference period. Sizing is carried out at
Level of districts on the latest perspectives of the Federal Bureau
The Plan.
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