This dataset presents the gas consumption scenarios in France by 2030. * * These data are taken from document * * _ * * ‘Gas outlook 2020’, * * _ * * * collaboration by * * GRDF, GRTgaz, Teréga and SPEGNN, in accordance with the recommendations of Article L. 141-10 of the Energy Code.
The modelling approach for scenario construction is bottom-up modelling of each consumption sector and renewable gas production. It is based on the use and use of data from numerous studies (INSEE, sdes, CEREN, ADEME, RTE, AFG, DGEC, ENTSOG, etc.).
For the first time, this exercise presents 3 trajectories for gas consumption, all of which are compatible with France’s objective of carbon neutrality in 2050:
* * National low gas scenario * *
This scenario is consistent and consistent with the SNBC (National Bas-Caborne Strategy) scenario (Avec Additional Measures) published in April 2020. In particular, it is based on a significant electrification of uses, in particular in the mobility, industry and private homes sectors, and on the significant development of district heating networks to feed collective and tertiary buildings.
* * NATIONAL high gas scenario * *
This scenario is consistent with the “high gas” variant of SNBC’s AMS scenario. The latter reflects the high uncertainty about the evolution of the place of gas in buildings and shows that further pathways towards carbon neutrality in 2050 are possible in France, relying in particular on a higher share of renewable gas to decarbonise the buildings sector.
* * TERRITOIRES scenario * *
This scenario is based on the concatenation of regional ambitions and dynamics. It is based on a harmonisation of the published SRADDET texts. Most of these scenarios are based on energy complementarity.
Gas consumption data are presented by sector: Residential, tertiary, industry (excluding electricity production and cogeneration), centralised electricity generation and cogeneration (known as PEC + cogé) and gas mobility (Fuel Gas Naturel Vehicle).
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