This dataset contains the results of the estimation of the outflows of older people from the housing market in four scenarios derived from the WLO-cahier ‘Regional Development and Urbanisation’ (CPB & PBL 2015). These are single people over the age of 65 who die, move to an institutional housing form or start living together, leaving a home behind.
The table shows the absolute number of outflowing households for the 40 COROP regions for 2015 and the 2030 and 2050 stitch years for the four high-base and low-base scenarios and the additional High-spread and Low-concentration scenarios. The shares of the outflow are also included in the total available offer, as well as the shares of rental and purchase homes in the outflow.
On the basis of the calculations for the WLO-Regional developments and urbanisation, the outflow of older households was calculated. It also shows the relative weight of this outflow in the total available supply on the housing market (in addition to regular flow and new construction). With an additional model, an estimate is made of the ratio between rental and owner-occupied dwellings in the outflow.
For further explanations see Eskinasi, M. & J. Ritsema van Eck (2018), Outflow of Elderly from the housing market. The Hague: PBL.
Use the WLO Package leaflet for correct use of the reference scenarios and usage restrictions http://www.wlo2015.nl/rapporten-wlo/bijsluiter
The package leaflet discusses:
— Use of the reference scenarios
— Use of the uncertainty explorations in addition to the reference scenarios
— Role of international and national policies in the WLO scenarios
— Erosion of the starting points of scenarios through new insights, developments and policies
— WLO scenarios and transition
— Availability and level of detail of data
Use the following source reference: Eskinasi, M. & J. Ritsema van Eck (2018) Outflow of elderly people from the housing market: a land-covering estimate based on the WLO. The Hague: PBL.
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